P. J. Eric Stallard
- Research Professor
- Center for Population Health and Aging, Duke
- Campus Box 90408
- Phone: 919 668 2724 (North Carolina)
- Fax: (919) 684-3861
Professor Stallard’s research expertise includes modeling and forecasting for medical demography and health/LTC actuarial practice:
- He was a 1996 winner of the National Institute on Aging James A. Shannon Director’s Award for his research proposal Forecasting Models for Acute and Long-Term Care.
- In 1999, he won first prize for the best conference paper for his paper Retirement and health: Estimates and projections of acute and long-term care needs and expenditures of the U.S. elderly population, presented at the Society of Actuaries’ Retirement Needs Framework Conference.
- In 2008, he won the Society of Actuaries’ Edward A. Lew Award for the Best Paper in Modeling Research for his paper Estimates of the incidence, prevalence, duration, intensity and cost of chronic disability among the U.S. elderly.
- In 2010, he was nominated jointly by the American Academy of Actuaries and the Society of Actuaries for Presidential Appointment to the CLASS Independence Advisory Council.
- In 2011, he was appointed to the National Academy of Sciences/Institute of Medicine Panel on Measuring Medical Care Risk in Conjunction with the New Supplemental Income Poverty Measure.
Professor Stallard’s 1984 book Recent Trends in Mortality Analysis, published by Academic Press with co-author K.G. Manton, provided in-depth and comprehensive models for the analysis of underlying and multiple cause mortality data.
His 2005 book Forecasting Product Liability Claims: Epidemiology and Modeling in the Manville Asbestos Case, published by Springer with co-authors K.G. Manton and J.E. Cohen, covers the full range of epidemiological, demographic, and actuarial issues in asbestos-related disease and mortality. His six other books/monographs, 112 scientific articles, and 66 actuarial publications span a broad range of topics in medical demography and health/LTC actuarial practice.